Pros and cons of build then sell
The Malay Mail 26/12/2000
Under the "sell then build" (STB) concept, a businessman can become
a developer almost overnight, by acquiring land.
There are basically four ways in which developers can acquire their
land: they could have owned it for a long time (such as the case
with plantation companies); they can enter into a joint-venture with
a company that owns the land; they can have the land alienated to
them by the government (which is usually cheaper than buying from
the market); or, they can simply acquire the land from the market.
Out of these four possibilities, it is the last type of developer
who is most likely to price his units highest, thereby risking low
sales especially in times of economic downturn.
A typical scenario would be this: during a boom property cycle, a
property developer decides to embark on real estate development
before it passes its peak. He purchases the land, paying peak
prices, and launches his development soon after.
It is the norm for developers to price such properties slightly
above the last transacted price of a similar new property in a
similar location.
Such cases have posed numerous problems, say property analysts.
It caused a glut of high-end condominiums, which was worsened by the
recent economic problems.
As a result, developers who had pledged shares for such loans were
faced with the banks demanding more collateral when share prices
tumbled.
"A project is feasible at one price but not at another and the
market is changing all the time," explains a property analyst.
"If the developer misses the time when prices are high, he will then
end up with the wrong units at the wrong time, which is the
predicament that some developers are in now. This is a disadvantage
of the STB concept," he said.
Developers who have not acquired their land at high prices are in a
better position, as their lower holding cost will enable them to
receive a reasonable rate of return on their investment even if
their units are not exorbitantly priced.
This type of developers will not really suffer from the
implementation of the "build then sell" (BTS) system.
Nevertheless, an immediate effect of the BTS is that some developers
will be forced out of the market – those who cannot afford to build
first. The general consensus is that the BTS will weed out
fly-by-night operators. But it could pose other problems, too.
Another property source also noted that a reduced number of
developers would mean fewer houses. The economics of supply and
demand dictates that a decrease in supply in turn would push
property prices up. But this may only be a temporary glitch because
a smaller number of developers would mean less demand for land
banks.
But developers are unlikely to take the proposal of a fight. They
claim that BTS would hurt them financially. Changing from STB to
BTS, a developer would not be generating any revenue for the
two-year period of construction. "This can cause a huge strain on
cash flow," says a property analyst.
Besides, not many developers are willing to be adventurous. A large
township with the land, infrastructure and building costs are very
expensive to build. It would be placing a huge burden of risk on
such a developer under the BTS.
Another property analyst noted that BTS works well in countries like
Australia where the local authority or government undertakes the
infrastructure. The developer just builds the houses.
"This way the costs are not high and will not impose any burden on
the developer. In Malaysia, if the local government or authority is
willing to undertake the infrastructure works, then the developer is
more than happy to adopt the BTS system. The infrastructure costs
can be crippling to a developer," said the analyst.
Under the current STB system, developers have to worry only about
paying for the land and infrastructure as they start generating
revenues the moment their properties are launched.
BTS is a good marketing strategy as it provides "comfort" to buyers
in the sense that the product is there to be seen, according to
another property analyst. The one drawback, he says, is whether the
developer has the financial capability to see through the whole
project.
BTS will result in satisfied customers as it will invariably reduce
the number of complaints of defects later on. Naturally, under this
system developers need to have greater financial resources and that
will, in effect, weed out the weak companies. The problem of
over-building will not arise and hence there are less chances of
abandoned projects. |